Central North final round: How the top four could take shape

Thor Crombie and his Walcha team-mates will enjoy a weekend off as they prepare to host the major semi-final. Who they face though is anyone's guess, the Rams the only team cemented in their finals position.
Thor Crombie and his Walcha team-mates will enjoy a weekend off as they prepare to host the major semi-final. Who they face though is anyone's guess, the Rams the only team cemented in their finals position.

2019 has been one of the closest Central North competitions on record with the battle for the final four going down to the wire. After 17 rounds only two things are certain Walcha will finish on top and host the major semi-final, and Narrabri can't be knocked out of the four.

Ahead of what will be a blockbuster final round we take a look at the different permutations that could play out for the finals contenders.

WALCHA

Final round opponent: Bye

Current position: 1st (73 points)

Best finish: 1st

Worst finish: 1st

NARRABRI

Final round opponents: Moree

Current position: 2nd (68 points)

Best finish: 2nd

Worst finish: 4th

Points scenarios: Win = 72 points, win with 4 try bonus point = 73, draw = 70, draw and score 4 or more tries = 71, lose = 68, lose by 7 or less = 69, lose but score 4 or more tries = 69, lose by 7 or less and score 4 or more tries = 70,

Scenarios

To finish 2nd

  • Win
  • Draw

To finish 3rd

  • Lose, Gunnedah and Pirates also lose
  • Lose, Gunnedah lose and Pirates win with bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
  • Lose, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins).
  • Lose but pick up a bonus point, Gunnedah win with bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)

To finish 4th:

  • Lose, Gunnedah beat Scone with bonus point

MOREE

Final round opponents: Narrabri

Current position: 3rd (66 points)

Best finish: 2nd

Worst finish: 5th

Points scenarios: Win = 70 points, win with four try bonus point = 71, draw = 68, draw and score 4 or more tries = 69, lose = 66, lose by 7 points or less = 67, lose but score four or more tries = 67, lose by 7 points or less and score 4 or more tries = 68

Scenarios

To finish 2nd

  • Win

To finish 3rd

  • Draw, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Moree have a better points differential)
  • Draw, Gunnedah lose but Pirates win with bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)
  • Draw, pick up a bonus point, Gunnedah win with bonus point (Moree have a better points differential)
  • Lose but pick up two bonus points, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Moree have higher points differential)
  • Lose but pick up two bonus points, Pirates win with bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)

To finish 4th

  • Lose, either Gunnedah or Pirates win
  • Lose but pick up two bonus points, Pirates win with bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)
  • Lose but pick up one bonus point, Gunnedah win, Pirates win without bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)

To finish 5th

  • Lose, Gunnedah and Pirates win

GUNNEDAH

Final round opponents: Scone

Current position: 4th (64 points)

Best finish: 3rd

Worst finish: 5th

Points scenarios: Win = 68, win and score 4 or more tries = 69, draw = 66, draw and score 4 or more tries = 67, lose = 64, lose by 7 points or less = 65, lose and score 4 or more tries = 65, lose by 7 or less and score 4 or more tries = 66

Scenarios

To finish 3rd

  • Win, Moree lose
  • Win with bonus point, Moree draw without bonus point
  • Win with bonus point, Moree lose but pick up bonus points
  • Win with bonus point, Narrabri lose without bonus a point
  • Draw with bonus point, Moree lose with no bonus points, Pirates lose

To finish 4th

  • Win without bonus point, Moree win
  • Win without bonus point, Narrabri lose and pick up no bonus points (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
  • Win with bonus point, Moree win, Narrabri pick up bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
  • Lose, Pirates lose
  • Lose with two bonus points, Pirates lose
  • Draw, Pirates lose

To finish 5th

  • Lose, Pirates win
  • Win without bonus point, Pirates win with bonus point (Pirates have better points differential)
  • Draw, Pirates win

PIRATES

Final round opponent: Barraba

Current position: 5th (63 points)

Best finish: 3rd

Worst finish: 5th

Points scenarios: Win = 67, win and score 4 or more tries= 68, draw = 65, draw with bonus point 66, lose = 63, lose by 7 or less points = 64, lose and score 4 or more tries = 64, lose by 7 or less and score 4 or more tries = 65

Scenarios

To finish 3rd

  • Win, Moree and Gunnedah lose
  • Win with bonus point, Gunnedah lose, Moree lose but pick up one bonus point
  • Win with bonus point, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Pirates have better points differential), Moree lose but pick up bonus point

To finish 4th

  • Win, Gunnedah lose
  • Win, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Pirates have better points differential)
  • Win, Gunnedah win, Moree lose
  • Draw, Gunnedah lose

To finish 5th

  • Lose
  • Draw and Gunnedah win
  • Win, Gunnedah win with bonus point
  • Win, Gunnedah win with bonus point, Moree lose but pick up two bonus points or draw (Moree will finish higher on wins)
  • Win with bonus point, Gunnedah win with bonus point, Moree win, Narrabri lose without any bonus points (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)