2019 has been one of the closest Central North competitions on record with the battle for the final four going down to the wire. After 17 rounds only two things are certain Walcha will finish on top and host the major semi-final, and Narrabri can't be knocked out of the four.
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Ahead of what will be a blockbuster final round we take a look at the different permutations that could play out for the finals contenders.
WALCHA
Final round opponent: Bye
Current position: 1st (73 points)
Best finish: 1st
Worst finish: 1st
NARRABRI
Final round opponents: Moree
Current position: 2nd (68 points)
Best finish: 2nd
Worst finish: 4th
Points scenarios: Win = 72 points, win with 4 try bonus point = 73, draw = 70, draw and score 4 or more tries = 71, lose = 68, lose by 7 or less = 69, lose but score 4 or more tries = 69, lose by 7 or less and score 4 or more tries = 70,
Scenarios
To finish 2nd
- Win
- Draw
To finish 3rd
- Lose, Gunnedah and Pirates also lose
- Lose, Gunnedah lose and Pirates win with bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
- Lose, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins).
- Lose but pick up a bonus point, Gunnedah win with bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
To finish 4th:
- Lose, Gunnedah beat Scone with bonus point
MOREE
Final round opponents: Narrabri
Current position: 3rd (66 points)
Best finish: 2nd
Worst finish: 5th
Points scenarios: Win = 70 points, win with four try bonus point = 71, draw = 68, draw and score 4 or more tries = 69, lose = 66, lose by 7 points or less = 67, lose but score four or more tries = 67, lose by 7 points or less and score 4 or more tries = 68
Scenarios
To finish 2nd
- Win
To finish 3rd
- Draw, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Moree have a better points differential)
- Draw, Gunnedah lose but Pirates win with bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)
- Draw, pick up a bonus point, Gunnedah win with bonus point (Moree have a better points differential)
- Lose but pick up two bonus points, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Moree have higher points differential)
- Lose but pick up two bonus points, Pirates win with bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)
To finish 4th
- Lose, either Gunnedah or Pirates win
- Lose but pick up two bonus points, Pirates win with bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)
- Lose but pick up one bonus point, Gunnedah win, Pirates win without bonus point (Moree will finish higher on wins)
To finish 5th
- Lose, Gunnedah and Pirates win
GUNNEDAH
Final round opponents: Scone
Current position: 4th (64 points)
Best finish: 3rd
Worst finish: 5th
Points scenarios: Win = 68, win and score 4 or more tries = 69, draw = 66, draw and score 4 or more tries = 67, lose = 64, lose by 7 points or less = 65, lose and score 4 or more tries = 65, lose by 7 or less and score 4 or more tries = 66
Scenarios
To finish 3rd
- Win, Moree lose
- Win with bonus point, Moree draw without bonus point
- Win with bonus point, Moree lose but pick up bonus points
- Win with bonus point, Narrabri lose without bonus a point
- Draw with bonus point, Moree lose with no bonus points, Pirates lose
To finish 4th
- Win without bonus point, Moree win
- Win without bonus point, Narrabri lose and pick up no bonus points (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
- Win with bonus point, Moree win, Narrabri pick up bonus point (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
- Lose, Pirates lose
- Lose with two bonus points, Pirates lose
- Draw, Pirates lose
To finish 5th
- Lose, Pirates win
- Win without bonus point, Pirates win with bonus point (Pirates have better points differential)
- Draw, Pirates win
PIRATES
Final round opponent: Barraba
Current position: 5th (63 points)
Best finish: 3rd
Worst finish: 5th
Points scenarios: Win = 67, win and score 4 or more tries= 68, draw = 65, draw with bonus point 66, lose = 63, lose by 7 or less points = 64, lose and score 4 or more tries = 64, lose by 7 or less and score 4 or more tries = 65
Scenarios
To finish 3rd
- Win, Moree and Gunnedah lose
- Win with bonus point, Gunnedah lose, Moree lose but pick up one bonus point
- Win with bonus point, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Pirates have better points differential), Moree lose but pick up bonus point
To finish 4th
- Win, Gunnedah lose
- Win, Gunnedah win without bonus point (Pirates have better points differential)
- Win, Gunnedah win, Moree lose
- Draw, Gunnedah lose
To finish 5th
- Lose
- Draw and Gunnedah win
- Win, Gunnedah win with bonus point
- Win, Gunnedah win with bonus point, Moree lose but pick up two bonus points or draw (Moree will finish higher on wins)
- Win with bonus point, Gunnedah win with bonus point, Moree win, Narrabri lose without any bonus points (Narrabri will finish higher on wins)
